Roth IRA vs Traditional IRA: Which Should You Choose?

Compare the future after-tax value of one contribution under different current and retirement tax-rate assumptions.

Quick answer: Roth contributions are generally more attractive when you expect your future tax rate to be higher than your current rate. Traditional contributions are generally more attractive when the reverse is true.
Instrument

Roth vs Traditional scenario

This comparison isolates the tax timing difference. It does not determine eligibility or model every tax detail.

Traditional IRA after tax

$40,497

Taxed at your estimated retirement rate

Roth IRA after tax

$53,286

Modeled as tax-free qualified withdrawal

Roth advantage in this scenario

$11,249

Positive means Roth has the higher modeled after-tax value

Modeled result: Roth IRA under these tax-rate assumptions.

How the comparison works

The model grows the same contribution at the same return for the same period. It then applies the future tax rate to the Traditional IRA value while treating the Roth value as tax-free if qualified. The Roth advantage includes the opportunity cost of forgoing the Traditional IRA tax deduction today. The winner is determined by the standard tax-rate comparison: if your future rate is lower than your current rate, Traditional wins; if higher, Roth wins; if equal, it is a tie on tax timing.

Rules this tool does not decide

Roth IRA eligibility, income limits, deductibility of Traditional IRA contributions, contribution limits, the five-year rule, and qualified-distribution rules all matter. Review the current IRS rules before contributing.

Source: IRS Roth account rules. A modeled result is not a recommendation.

Figures current as of 2026-09-25. Found an error? Contact us.